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University of Wisconsin-Extension

June 18th, 2026 Weather Outlook

Written by Josh Bendorf, Bridgette Mason, Steve Vavrus, Anastasia Kurth and EMILEE W GAULKE Posted on June 18, 2026June 18, 2026
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Weather and climate conditions this week in Wisconsin

Here are this week’s take-home points about the weather. As a reminder, AgWOW reports will be published weekly throughout the growing season. Scroll down for the full report.

Additionally, we’re collecting user feedback. Regardless of whether it’s your first time here or if you are a regular user, we’d love to hear from you!

Key Points

Recent Conditions

  • Temperatures were 3-6°F above normal across most of the state, with the eastern and northern counties being the most above normal. Growing degree day accumulation (since May 1 and May 15) is running ahead of normal pace. 
  • Precipitation totals were highest in southern and central counties last week (2-4”), totals that were 175-300% of normal. Most received at least a half inch of rain. 

Impact

  • Most Wisconet research farm stations gained moisture in the top 4 inches of soil due to rainfall totals of 1-3” of rain last week for most. 
  • Satellite-based soil moisture estimates indicate widespread improvements in soil moisture, with most of the state estimated to have near-normal soil moisture in the top 1 meter. 
  • Recent rainfall has helped to reduce drought coverage in the state. D1 coverage dropped by 10% compared to last week’s report. 
  • Emergence is nearing completion (>90%) for both corn and soybeans. With adequate soil moisture for most Wisconsin fields, row crops in the state are primarily in good to excellent condition. 

Outlook

  • Rain is most likely in the southern tier of counties over the next week, with multiple rain chances statewide. 
  • The outlook for the June-July transition indicates near-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation for most of the state. 
  • The outlook for July does not offer any strong indications for temperature and precipitation deviations currently. 
  • Late summer through early fall (July-Sept) may be cooler-than-normal in southern and central counties (33-40% odds), with precipitation leaning towards below normal for most of the state. 
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Agronomic, Fruit and Vegetable Considerations

Field Conditions

  •  June is the time for pre-sidedress nitrate soil sampling. See guidelines for PSNT sampling.
  • Thunderstorms have brought hail to areas of the state. Read more about hail damage and crop impacts here.  

Forage Management

  • First crop alfalfa harvest is nearing completion in Northern WI. Consider using a PEAQ (Predictive Equations for Alfalfa Quality) stick to estimate relative feed value as you decide when to make each cut. 

Pest Management

  • Scout fields to note what weed species are emerging or have escaped herbicide application.  
  • Early planted soybeans are reaching reproductive stages. Revisit POST herbicide labels for timing considerations. Glufosinate must be applied before the R1 stage and Enlist One can be applied through the R1 stage.  
  • Look for true armyworm larvae in corn (especially around V5), grass pasture, and small grains.  
  • Western bean cutworm trapping has begun for the season. Check DATCP trap catches.  
  • Scout emerging corn until V5 for signs of cutworm feeding.  
  • Continue scouting for alfalfa weevil larva, mostly in the northern half of WI. Weevil larvae have the greatest impact (quality and yield) on first and second alfalfa cuts.  
  • SlugNet is trapping again in 2026! Review weekly trap catches across the state. Observe fields (especially fields with reduced tillage and cover crops) for any signs of slug damage.  
  • Continue to scout corn and soybean fields for disease. While disease in these crops has been of low concern so far, recent precipitation could change conditions to be more favorable.  

Manure Applications

  • Reminder of Wisconsin’s NR 151 Runoff Rules with the timing of manure spreading and current runoff levels. Check DATCP Runoff Risk Advisory Forecast. 

Small Grains

  • Scout small grains for signs of disease. This includes powdery mildew and stripe rust, especially in susceptible varieties. Use the Crop Risk Tool and Fusarium Risk Tool for risk assessment for Fusarium Head Blight. FHB risk has increased.  
  • Staging small grain growth is important for fungicide timing as diseases are emerging. Winter wheat in the southern half of the stat is past the window to spray fungicide. Those in the central and northern parts of the state may still have an opportunity, if warranted. Review growth stages here.  

Fruit Considerations- General

  • Wisconsin fruit growers can reference the bi-weekly Wisconsin Fruit News for the most recent, in-depth updates on fruit production, including disease and insect management. 
  • Apple and grape growers can reference the NEWA weather station network to monitor for disease infection periods in their area. Check out your nearest weather station: NEWA Weather Station Network (Cornell). Check out your nearest weather station: NEWA Weather Station Network (Cornell). 
  • Grape growers may reference Dr. Amaya Atucha’s most recent article on petiole sampling in cold hardy grapes. 
  • Wisconsin fruit growers can reference the Midwest Fruit Pest Management Guide for a list of registered products and recommended best practices. View the MFPMG Online. 

Fruit Considerations- Disease

  • Apple scab fruit lesions have been observed in Southern WI, likely pushed along by recent rains. Continue scouting scab susceptible varieties. A reminder that protectants will typically wash off after ~1inch of rain. 
  • Strawberry growers may reference the most recent Wisconsin Fruit News article on Strawberry Disease Concerns Following Heavy Rains During Harvest by Dr. Leslie Holland. 

Fruit Considerations- Insects

  • Apple growers should continue monitoring degree-day (base 50℉) accumulation for Codling moth. First generation larvae will emerge after ~250 degree-days (base 50℉) have accumulated from the biofix date. Second generation larvae will typically emerge at ~1250 degree-days (base 50℉) from the biofix date. 
  • Apple growers should keep track of degree-day (base 50℉) accumulation from petal fall to determine the end of plum curculio movement into the orchard. Plum curculio will typically cease movement into the orchard after ~308 degree-days (base 50℉) have accumulated from the petal fall date. 

Vegetable Considerations- General

  • Remove garlic scapes to maximize bulb size. Research has shown that failure to remove garlic scapes can reduce bulb size by as much as 48%. Scapes can be removed as soon as they emerge or if you have a market for scapes, once they are fully coiled. Removing scapes at full coil has a minor impact on yield, research has shown a 9% reduction, but make up for this loss with the demand from consumers. If hand removal is not practical, research has shown that letting the scapes grow longer (30-40cm) and then cutting with a sickle bar mower reduces damage to leaves and minimizes impacts on yield.  
  • It is a great time to consider summer cover crops before planting fall crops. Summer cover crop options include buckwheat, cowpea, and sorghum sudangrass. Check out these videos from UW Madison Extension and Iowa State Extension to learn more about what might work on your farm. Purdue also has a great article on this topic.  
  • While favorable weather for late blight has occurred since approximately 50% of potato crops have emerged, we still have not reached that point that preventative applications are necessary.  

Vegetable Considerations- Disease

  • Cucumber downy mildew spores have been detected in 3 eastern and southeastern counties in Michigan. However, no reports of disease outbreaks have been reported in Michigan or Wisconsin.  
  • Recent weather conditions, wet and cool, are favorable for halo blight in green beans. Monitor leaves for symptoms which first appear as water-soaked lesions on the underside of leaves. As the disease progresses, the lesions become red to brown in color and are surrounded by a yellow-green halo. Symptoms resemble downy mildew however they lack the gray sporulation on the underside of leaves. Pods can also become infected, and symptoms are water-soaked lesions. This disease is typically not widespread however, there is a confirmed report in Iowa. Management information and comparison between bacterial disease in green beans can be found here.  
  • Monitor brassicas for symptoms of black rot which include yellow blotches that start on leaf margins and spread in a v- shaped pattern into the leaf. Veins will also appear brown or black when held up to a light. One of the best management strategies during the season is avoiding working in fields when foliage is wet.  

Vegetable Considerations- Insects

  • Squash vine borer risk is high in southern WI and will be increasing in central WI in the next week. Be on the lookout for adults which are day flying moths. Their abdomens are red to orange in color with black spots. Newly emerged females begin looking for hosts to lay eggs shortly after emerging. Floating row cover during peak adult activity can reduce crop risk although it must be removed during flowering. Chemical control options are limited once larvae move into the plant stem. Effective chemical control requires insecticides to be in place before and during egg laying.  
  • Stalk borer risk is high in central WI. Starting in late May the larvae migrate from grassy weeds along field edges into susceptible crops which include tomatoes, potatoes, sweet corn, and beans. Larvae feed on leaves or stalk tunnels, causing irregular holes in the newly unfolding leaves. Control options are limited this time of year. If eggs have already hatched, removing alternative weed hosts can increase the amount that migrate into your crop. For chemical treatment to be effective, treatment must occur before larvae have moved into the crop stem. Therefore, it is very difficult to use chemical controls as their presence is not often noticed until they are already inside the stem and have caused damage. 
  • Risk from the second generation of western flower thrips (WFT) is now high in southern WI and will be increasing in central WI over the next week. Early detection is key as control can be very difficult. WFT can spread viruses including tomato spotted wilt virus which can infect tomato, pepper, potato, and eggplant. Symptoms typically start at the top of the plant. Dark brown to black areas form on leaves, stems, and fruit. If plants become infected, rogue them out immediately to reduce the chance of spread. WFT management options include weed management inside and outside of high tunnels, reflective mulch, and insecticides. 
  • MSU reports on aster leafhoppers indicate that infectivity levels are currently 6% or less with many at 0%. Sign up for text alerts here to get an idea of how infectivity levels are changing throughout the season. Aster leafhoppers spread aster yellows which can cause significant damage to a range of crops including garlic, lettuce, carrots, and parsley. Control of aster yellows depends on control of the aster leafhopper. Management options include floating row covers, planting resistant cultivars, and insecticides. 
  • Monitor beans and potatoes for signs of potato leafhopper damage which include veins turning yellow and leaf curling during early stages and later appears as the characteristic “hopper burn” that leads to the yellowing or browning of leaf tips. Damage occurs most rapidly under hot and dry conditions. Management information and action thresholds can be found here.  
  • Continue scouting for Colorado potato beetle. Reports from the Vegetable Crop indicate that “in much of southern Wisconsin, larval populations are well into mid- and later stages of larval development, whereas only early larval stages are present in most fields within central Wisconsin.” Larvicide recommendations can be found here. In northern WI, continue scouting for colonizing adults and egg masses. Control options include perimeter and edge applications.  
  • Continue to scout for striped cucumber beetles. Adults feed on foliage and fruit and can spread bacterial wilt which can cause severe losses in cucumber and muskmelon. It is important to scout and, when necessary, control beetles early in the season to reduce risk of spreading this disease. Management options include spraying plants with kaolin clay although this will wash off with rain, floating row cover or high tunnel insect exclusion screens, and soil drenches for larvae.  
  • Scout for cabbage looper, imported cabbageworm and diamondback moth eggs and larvae. Plants are most susceptible to damage as young transplants and from early heading to harvest so the management threshold is when 10% of plants are affected. More information on treatment thresholds and management options can be found here. It is best to rely on larvae counts rather than damage or frass (droppings) to determine the level of infestation. Resistance to insecticides is a risk with these pests. Rotate modes of action, choose a selective insecticide when possible, and spot treat or band applications rather than broadcasting.  
  • The risk of damage from the second generation of seed corn maggots larvae is high in northern WI, and the third generation is now active in southern WI. Injury is caused exclusively by larvae which feeds on the cotyledons and below ground tissue of seedlings. Management is only effective if done in a preventative manner. Once larval damage is detected, there are no control options. Preventative management options can be found here.  
  • Cabbage maggot peak egg laying is now occurring in northern WI. Treatment is primarily preventative. When possible, till in cover crops 2 to 3 weeks before planting to reduce attractiveness. If possible, delay planting to avoid peak activity. Plantings after mid-June generally suffer less damage than early plantings. Floating row covers and diatomaceous earth are also good options during peak activity. To monitor activity in your area, use the Vegetable Disease and Insect Forecasting Network.  
  • DATCP continues to report black cutworm moth trap catches. Black cutworm larvae feed on newly emerged crops and prefer direct seeded crops over transplants. Many crops are susceptible to damage including beets, carrots, cucumber, leafy greens, sweet corn and squash. Management options include weed management as females prefer to lay eggs in weedy areas and avoiding the use of green manure in areas where cutworms tend to be a problem. For chemical control to be effective, early detection is key. If chemical treatment is necessary, begin treating at the first signs of cutting and repeat every 7 days until 1000 degree days are reached.  
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Dive deeper into each report section by clicking a topic below.

Key Points
Agronomic and Vegetable Effects
Precipitation
Crop Progress
Soil Moisture and Temperature
Temperature
Forecasts and Outlooks

Precipitation Trends

7 Day Precipitation

Image Description ↓

Map of Wisconsin and surrounding Upper Midwest states with shaded grid cells indicating 7‑day rainfall totals. Title text in a box reads “Radar Estimates (Rain) 6/9/26–6/16/26.” A vertical legend shows precipitation ranges from “less than 0.01” up to “15 to 20” inches, color‑coded from light gray/blue (lowest) through greens, yellows, oranges, reds, and purple (highest).
Most of Wisconsin is shaded green (about 1–2 inches), with a broad band of yellow to light orange (2–4 inches, locally higher) stretching west–east across central Wisconsin. Smaller patches of darker green and blue (under 1 inch) appear in the far north and southwest. Heavier localized pockets (yellow/orange) occur scattered across central counties.

Image Description ↓

Map titled “Accumulated Precipitation: Percent of 1991–2020 Normals” with subtitle “June 09, 2026 to June 16, 2026.” A color scale along the bottom ranges from 0% to 500%, with colors progressing from gray/red/orange (well below normal), yellow (near below normal), light green (near normal ~75–125%), darker green (~125–175%), blue (~175–300%), and purple (~300–500%). Central and north‑central Wisconsin show widespread blue shades (approximately 175–300% of normal precipitation), indicating much wetter than normal conditions. Parts of north‑central Wisconsin include small purple patches (locally over 300%). Western Wisconsin shows yellow to orange shades (about 25–75% of normal), indicating drier than normal conditions. Southern Wisconsin contains mixed areas of green and blue, ranging from near normal to above normal. Eastern Wisconsin near Lake Michigan shows mostly green (near to slightly above normal).

  • Totals were highest in southern and central counties, where totals of 2-4” were common. These totals ranged from 175% to 300% of normal. 
  • Highest Wisconet 7-day precipitation total: 3.95” (Osseo, Trempealeau County) 
  • The driest parts of the state received 0.5-1” of rain last week, which for this time of year is 50-100% of normal. 
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30 Day Precipitation Total and Departure from Normals

Image Description ↓

Map titled “Accumulated Precipitation (in)” with date range “May 17, 2026 to June 15, 2026.” A color legend at the bottom shows rainfall totals from 0 to 15 inches, progressing from gray (near 0), yellow/light green (0.25–1 inch), green (1–2 inches), darker green (2–4 inches), blue (4–8 inches), and purple (10–15 inches). Central and southern Wisconsin are dominated by blue shades (about 4–8 inches), indicating higher accumulated precipitation. Northern and far eastern areas show mostly green (1–4 inches), indicating lower totals. Some localized darker blue pockets suggest amounts approaching or exceeding 8 inches.

Image Description ↓

Map titled “Accumulated Precipitation: Percent of 1991–2020 Normals” with date range “May 17, 2026 to June 15, 2026.” A horizontal legend at the bottom displays percentage ranges from 0 to 300%, with colors progressing from gray/red/orange (well below normal), yellow (25–75%), light green (~75–100%), darker green (~100–150%), and blue (~150–300%). Most of Wisconsin is shaded yellow to light green, indicating precipitation generally near to slightly below normal (about 50–100%). Central Wisconsin has patches of darker green (100–150%), indicating modestly above-normal precipitation. South‑central Wisconsin contains localized blue areas (about 150–200%), indicating wetter-than-normal conditions. Northern and eastern areas are largely yellow (below normal), with scattered small green pockets near normal.

  • Totals in southern, west central, and central Wisconsin commonly ranged from 4-8”. These totals were 100-175% of normal, with a bullseye of ≥175% of normal in southern Grant and Lafayette Counties. 
  • Elsewhere in the state, precipitation totals were commonly 2-4” (25-75% of normal). 
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90 Day Precipitation Total and Percent of Normals

Image Description ↓

Map titled “Accumulated Precipitation (in)” with date range “March 18, 2026 to June 15, 2026.” A horizontal legend at the bottom ranges from 0 to 25 inches, with colors progressing from gray/yellow (lowest totals), green (1–3 inches), darker green (3–5 inches), blue (5–12 inches), and lighter blue to purple (12–25 inches). Most of Wisconsin is shaded in medium to darker blue, indicating widespread totals of about 6–12 inches over the period. South-central Wisconsin shows lighter blue shades, indicating higher totals around 12–15 inches. Northern Wisconsin trends slightly lower, with darker greens and lighter blues indicating roughly 3–8 inches. There are no widespread extreme (purple) areas shown.

Image Description ↓

Map titled “Accumulated Precipitation: Percent of 1991–2020 Normals” with date range “March 18, 2026 to June 15, 2026.” A horizontal legend at the bottom displays percentages from 0 to 300%, with colors progressing from gray/red/orange (well below normal), yellow (25–75%), light green (~75–100%), darker green (~100–150%), and blue (~150–300%). Most of Wisconsin is shaded light green, indicating near-normal precipitation (about 75–100%). A broad central band, extending from west-central through north-central into east-central Wisconsin, shows darker green (about 100–150%), indicating above-normal precipitation. Southern Wisconsin also includes patches of darker green. Western and northern edge areas show more yellow (below normal, about 50–75%). Only small scattered areas approach higher categories; widespread extreme values are not shown.

  • Totals of 12.5-15” or more were common across southern, west central, and central counties. These totals were 100-150% of normal or more. 
  • Most of the state received precipitation totals that were at or above normal, with most receiving at least 10” of precipitation (rain plus melted snow). 
  • Precipitation totals were lowest in the north (5-10”). In the north and northwest, 90-day totals were 50-100% of normal. 
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2026 Precipitation

Image Description ↓

Map titled “Accumulated Precipitation (in)” with date range “January 01, 2026 to June 15, 2026.” A horizontal legend at the bottom ranges from 0 to 40 inches, with colors progressing from gray/yellow (near 0–1 inch), green (1–4 inches), darker green (4–7.5 inches), blue (7.5–15 inches), lighter blue (15–20 inches), and purple (20–40 inches). Most of Wisconsin is shaded in medium to light blue, indicating widespread totals around 8–20 inches. Northern and western areas trend darker blue (roughly 10–20 inches), while south‑central Wisconsin shows lighter blue shades (about 8–12 inches), indicating relatively lower totals. No large areas show the highest (purple) category.

Image Description ↓

Map titled “Accumulated Precipitation (in): Departure from 1991–2020 Normals” with date range “January 01, 2026 to June 15, 2026.” A horizontal legend at the bottom displays departures from -8 to +16 inches. Colors progress from dark orange and red (−8 to −2 inches, below normal), light yellow (near normal around 0), light to dark green (about +2 to +6 inches above normal), and blue to purple (about +8 to +16 inches, much above normal). Western Wisconsin is dominated by orange shades, indicating below-normal precipitation (roughly −2 to −6 inches). Central Wisconsin shows a band of greens and some blues, indicating above-normal precipitation (about +2 to +10 inches). Eastern and northeastern Wisconsin, including areas near Green Bay, display darker green to blue shades (about +4 to +10 inches above normal). Southern Wisconsin is mixed, with mostly light to moderate positive departures (near 0 to +6 inches).

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Soil Moisture and Temperature Trends

Soil Moisture Models

Image Description ↓

Map titled “NASA SPoRT‑LIS 0–100 cm Soil Moisture Percentile” with NOAA, NIDIS, and NASA logos at top right. The map covers Wisconsin and surrounding Upper Midwest areas, with labels including Minnesota, Wisconsin, Minneapolis, Madison, and Milwaukee. Data note reads “Data Valid: 06/08/26,” and “Drought.gov” appears at bottom right. A horizontal legend shows soil moisture percentiles from 0 to 100. Colors range from dark brown/red (0–5th percentile, extremely dry), orange (5–10th), tan (10–20th), yellow (20–30th), gray (~30–70th near normal), and shades of blue (70–100th, above normal moisture). Most of Wisconsin is shaded yellow to orange (roughly 2nd–30th percentile), indicating below-normal soil moisture. Western Wisconsin and parts of south‑central Wisconsin show darker orange to red patches (below 10th percentile), indicating very dry conditions. Eastern Wisconsin, especially near Milwaukee, also includes red pockets (very low soil moisture). Limited small areas show lighter colors approaching near-normal; above-normal (blue) areas are largely absent within Wisconsin.

Image Description ↓

Map titled “NASA SPoRT‑LIS 0–100 cm Soil Moisture Percentile” with NOAA, NIDIS, and NASA logos at top right. The map shows Wisconsin and surrounding Upper Midwest states, including labeled locations such as Minnesota, Minneapolis, Madison, Milwaukee, and “WISCONSIN” centered on the state. Text at the bottom includes “Source(s): NASA,” “Data Valid: 06/15/26,” and “Drought.gov.” A horizontal legend displays soil moisture percentile categories from 0 to 100, with colors ranging from dark red/brown (0–5th percentile, extremely dry), orange (5–10th), tan (10–20th), yellow (20–30th), gray (30–70th, near normal), and light to dark blue (70–100th, above normal). Across Wisconsin, most areas show gray shading (roughly 30–70th percentile), indicating near-normal soil moisture. North‑central Wisconsin includes patches of light to medium blue (about 70–90th percentile), indicating wetter-than-normal conditions. Western Wisconsin and parts near Minneapolis show darker orange/red areas (below 10th percentile), indicating very dry conditions. Southeastern Wisconsin, including areas near Milwaukee, also has orange to red pockets (below 20th percentile), indicating below-normal soil moisture. Southern areas show mixed yellow to gray (20–70th percentile), indicating slightly below to near-normal conditions.

  • Satellite-based soil moisture estimates indicate widespread improvements in soil moisture across the state. 
  • Most of Wisconsin is estimated to have near-normal soil moisture in the top 1 meter. 
  • Counties in northwest, central, and east-central Wisconsin are still indicated as abnormally dry. 
  • Notes on how to interpret the maps: 
    • Red areas = top 5 driest in 100 years. 
    • Dark red areas = top 2 driest in 100 years. 
    • Dark blue areas = top 2 wettest in 100 years. 
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Wisconet Soil Moisture

Image Description ↓

Map labeled “Plant Available Water 4″ depth” shows Wisconsin and nearby areas. Circular markers display numeric values of plant-available water in inches at monitoring sites. Values range from 0.00 to about 1.14 inches. The legend (lower left) categorizes values from “0.00 to 0.12 inches” (dark brown/red) up to “greater than 1.42 inches” (dark blue). Southern and eastern Wisconsin contain many low-value markers (about 0.00–0.30 inches), including clusters near Madison, Fond du Lac, Sheboygan, and Green Bay. Central areas show mixed values around 0.3–0.6 inches. Northern and western locations (near Eau Claire, Ladysmith, and toward Minnesota) include higher values around 0.7–1.1 inches, indicating more available soil water. A few gray “N/A” points indicate missing data. Overall pattern shows drier conditions across southern and eastern Wisconsin and comparatively higher soil water in parts of the north and west.

Image Description ↓

Map labeled “Plant Available Water 8” depth” shows Wisconsin and surrounding regions. Circular markers display site-specific values of plant-available water in inches. Values range from 0.00 to about 2.26 inches. The legend at lower left categorizes values from “0.00 to 0.20 inches” (dark brown/red, very low) through tan and gray midranges, up to blue shades exceeding about 1.5 inches, and darkest blue above ~2.3 inches. Southern and central Wisconsin show many low values (0.00–0.31 inches), including clusters south of Wisconsin Rapids, near Fond du Lac, and toward Sheboygan. Eastern Wisconsin near Lake Michigan shows mostly 0.24–0.75 inches with some very low points (0.02–0.08). Central areas are mixed, with values around 0.5–1.2 inches. Western and southwestern Wisconsin (near La Crosse, Eau Claire, and toward Minnesota/Iowa) include higher values around 1.5–2.26 inches, indicating greater soil water availability. Northern Wisconsin shows moderate values (~0.5–1.3 inches). Some gray markers are labeled “N/A.” Overall pattern: lowest soil water in central and eastern Wisconsin, higher values in western and southwestern areas.

Image Description ↓

Map labeled “Plant Available Water 20” depth” displays Wisconsin and nearby areas. Circular markers show site values in inches of plant-available water. Values range from 0.00 to about 5.44 inches. A legend (lower left) categorizes values from “0.00 to 0.39 inches” (dark brown/red, very low) up to “greater than 5.91 inches” (dark blue). Intermediate categories include tan/gray (about 1.2–3.1 inches) and light to dark blue (about 3.1–5.5 inches). Central and eastern Wisconsin show many low values, generally 0.00–1.17 inches (e.g., near Wisconsin Rapids, Oshkosh, Sheboygan, and Marinette), indicating limited deep soil water. Northern-central areas have mixed values (about 0.8–2.6 inches). Western and southwestern Wisconsin (near Eau Claire, La Crosse, and toward Minnesota/Iowa) have higher values, commonly 3.0–5.44 inches. Southeastern areas near Milwaukee and Kenosha show moderate values around 3.1–3.8 inches. Several gray markers indicate “N/A.” Overall pattern: lowest deep soil moisture in central/eastern Wisconsin; highest in western and southwestern regions.

  • Most Wisconet research farm stations gained moisture in the top 4 inches of soil due to rainfall totals of 1-3” of rain last week for most. 
  • The maps (above) show the daily average Wisconet plant available water (inches) on June 15th.   
  • The table (below) shows total precipitation and changes in plant available water from June 8th (Start) to June 15th (End).  
  • What is plant available water? To learn more, read this article from UW Extension Ag Water Quality on plant available water. There is also a webinar from UW Extension on soil water management that you can watch. 
    • Example: Imagine that you have 4 inches of soil in the bottom of a bucket. In that soil, there are 1.5 inches of plant available water. Therefore, if you removed the soil and left only the water available for plant roots to take up, you would have 1.5 inches of water in the bottom of the bucket. 
    • The wilting point is when plant available water is at 0 inches, and the plant can no longer access water at that depth in the soil. 
Research FarmCountyTotal Precipitation (in.)4″ Start4″ End8″ Start8″ End20″ Start20″ End
ArlingtonColumbia1.410.520.950.971.893.625.08
Black River FallsJackson1.510.000.050.040.260.171.86
Dairy Forage ARSSauk0.730.130.730.501.132.453.14
HancockWaushara0.510.000.000.000.000.000.00
KempOneida1.570.220.380.490.800.491.03
LancasterGrant1.860.660.951.041.973.965.07
MarshfieldMarathon3.380.681.141.802.264.835.29
O.J. Noer (Turfgrass)Dane2.530.560.861.221.804.214.86
PeninsularDoor1.530.110.480.240.881.612.27
RhinelanderOneida1.770.000.170.000.280.000.28
SpoonerWashburn0.950.000.220.000.220.560.75
Research FarmCurrent 4″ Soil MoistureLast Week’s 4″ Soil Moisture1 Month Ago 4″ Soil Moisture
Arlington0.950.520.41
Black River Falls0.050.000.00
Dairy Forage ARS0.730.130.06
Hancock0.000.000.00
Kemp0.380.220.20
Lancaster0.950.660.26
Marshfield1.140.680.87
O.J. Noer (Turfgrass)0.860.560.05
Peninsular0.480.110.45
Rhinelander0.170.000.07
Spooner0.220.000.05
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USDA Soil Moisture Reports

*Note that USDA soil moisture reports were not updated this week. Graphics are the same as last week.

USDA topsoil moisture map, week ending June 7, 2026. US average: 58% adequate (+3 from last week). Image description below.

Image Description ↓

Choropleth map of the contiguous US showing topsoil moisture percent adequate by state, with green shading from light (0-9%) to dark (90-100%). State values [change from prior week]: Washington 71 [0], Oregon 58 [-4], Idaho 76 [0], California 95 [0], Nevada 45 [0], Utah 37 [+9], Arizona 47 [+1], Montana 34 [+9], Wyoming 21 [-2], Colorado 13 [+4], New Mexico 32 [+9], North Dakota 64 [0], South Dakota 46 [+5], Nebraska 38 [-3], Kansas 56 [+6], Oklahoma 56 [+8], Texas 47 [+9], Minnesota 69 [+6], Iowa 67 [+3], Missouri 62 [-6], Arkansas 60 [+6], Louisiana 58 [0], Wisconsin 62 [+2], Illinois 63 [+4], Mississippi 65 [+2], Alabama 58 [-4], Georgia 53 [+9], Michigan 58 [-10], Indiana 68 [+2], Kentucky 64 [-5], Tennessee 70 [-2], South Carolina 53 [+9], Florida 58 [+3], Ohio 66 [+6], West Virginia 49 [+2], North Carolina 35 [-18], Virginia 29 [-33], Maryland/Delaware 38 [-32], Pennsylvania 75 [-5], New York 88 [+13], Vermont 82 [0], New Hampshire 91 [+1], Maine 65 [-25], Massachusetts/Connecticut/Rhode Island 67 [-20], New Jersey 20 [-9], 74 [-16] (coastal Northeast region). Source: USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service weekly Crop Progress reports.

USDA map of US subsoil moisture by state, week ending June 7, 2026; national average 55% adequate, +1 from last week. Image description below.

Image Description ↓

Choropleth map of the 48 contiguous states, shaded green by percent adequate subsoil moisture (scale: 0-9 to 90-100, darker = higher). Each state shows its percent value with change from last week in brackets. State values: WA 64 [+2], OR 54 [-3], CA 95 [0], ID 77 [0], NV 75 [0], UT 37 [+8], AZ 41 [+3], MT 34 [+3], WY 17 [-1], CO 19 [0], NM 20 [+4], ND 69 [-2], SD 40 [+4], NE 32 [+2], KS 52 [+3], OK 37 [+5], TX 44 [+10], MN 65 [+2], IA 67 [+1], MO 72 [-3], AR 58 [+1], LA 45 [0], WI 67 [-1], IL 59 [-2], MS 72 [+3], AL 64 [+4], GA 49 [+4], MI 72 [-11], IN 73 [+2], OH 61 [+8], KY 62 [-1], TN 64 [+6], FL 41 [-4], NY 75 [+10], PA 58 [-15], WV 36 [-2], VA 24 [-11], NC 39 [-13], SC 43 [-3], ME 48 [-29], VT 76 [+2], NH 87 [+2], MA 39 [-35], CT 91 [+13], RI 65 [+15], NJ 30 [-8], DE 17 [-9]. Source: USDA NASS weekly Crop Progress reports.

  • 74% and 73% of agricultural soils in the state are reported as having adequate topsoil and subsoil moisture, respectively.  
  • 16% and 17% of agricultural soils in the state are reported as having short to very short topsoil and subsoil moisture, respectively. 
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Wisconet Soil Temperature

Image Description ↓

Map labeled “4 in Soil Temperature (°F)” shows Wisconsin and surrounding Upper Midwest areas. Circular markers display soil temperature readings in degrees Fahrenheit at monitoring sites. A legend at lower left shows color ranges from less than 10°F (dark blue) to greater than 100°F (red), with most Wisconsin points in yellow/green (60–70°F). Across Wisconsin, most readings cluster between about 60 and 66°F (e.g., 63.0 near Medford, 64.9 near Rhinelander, 63–65 in central areas). Northern Wisconsin includes slightly cooler values, such as 57.6 near Ashland and low 60s nearby. Southern and southwestern Wisconsin show warmer values, commonly 66–74°F (e.g., 70.9 near the southwest border, 74.1 south-central). Eastern areas near Lake Michigan range mostly 63–68°F, with some near 70°F. A few points are labeled “N/A.” Overall pattern: relatively uniform soil temperatures statewide, with cooler north and warmer south/southwest.

Image Description ↓

A map of Wisconsin and surrounding areas displays point measurements of soil temperature at 8 inches depth. Circular markers show numeric values (°F) at monitoring sites. Most readings fall between about 60°F and 70°F, indicated by yellow shades. Cooler values appear in northern areas (e.g., upper 50s near Lake Superior), while some warmer readings near southern and southwestern locations reach around 70–73°F. Example visible values include ~56.8°F near Ashland, ~60.4°F near Duluth, ~64–66°F across central Wisconsin, ~69–71°F in southwest areas, and ~70°F near the Lake Michigan coast. A few locations are marked “N/A.” A legend in the lower left lists color categories: less than 10°F up to greater than 100°F, with 60–70°F highlighted in yellow tones. The header text reads “8 in Soil Temperature (°F).” Major cities and highways are faintly labeled in the background.

Image Description ↓

A regional map centered on Wisconsin displays soil temperatures measured at 20 inches depth. Circular markers label individual site readings in degrees Fahrenheit. Most values fall between about 58°F and 65°F, shown in yellow and light green. Northern areas near Lake Superior show cooler values around 55–57°F (e.g., Ashland ~55.0°F, Duluth area ~57.0°F). Central and northern Wisconsin sites generally range from about 59–62°F (e.g., Minocqua and Rhinelander areas ~59–63°F). Southern and southwestern Wisconsin show slightly warmer readings, commonly 63–69°F, with a few near 71–72°F in the southwest. Eastern and coastal sites along Lake Michigan include values mainly in the low‑to‑mid 60s, with some upper 60s. Some stations are marked “N/A.” A legend at bottom left shows color categories from “less than 10°F” to “greater than 100°F,” with 50–70°F ranges highlighted in green to yellow. The title text reads “20 in Soil Temperature (°F).”

  • The maps show daily average Wisconet soil temperature conditions on June 15th.
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U.S. Drought Monitor

Image Description ↓

A U.S. Drought Monitor map labeled “Midwest” shows drought conditions by county across Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. The date at top right reads “June 16, 2026 (Released Thursday, Jun. 18, 2026), Valid 8 a.m. EDT.”

Counties are color-coded by drought intensity: white (None), yellow (D0 Abnormally Dry), tan (D1 Moderate Drought), orange (D2 Severe Drought), red (D3 Extreme Drought), and dark red (D4 Exceptional Drought).

Most of the region displays D0 (yellow) and D1 (tan), especially across Minnesota, Wisconsin, and parts of the central Midwest. Northern Minnesota shows areas of D1–D2 (tan to orange). Southern portions of the Midwest show more intense drought, including D2 and pockets of D3 (red), especially in southern Illinois, Indiana, and nearby areas. Some areas remain white (no drought).

A table titled “Drought Conditions (Percent Area)” lists categories None, D0–D4 with rows for Current, Last Week (06‑09‑2026), 3 Months Ago (03‑17‑2026), Start of Calendar Year (01‑06‑2026), Start of Water Year (10‑01‑2025), and One Year Ago (06‑17‑2025).

  • Current: None 61.84%, D0–D4 38.16%, D1–D4 13.03%, D2–D4 4.57%, D3–D4 0.74%, D4 0.00%. Values for prior periods show higher drought coverage earlier in the year.

A legend labeled “Intensity” explains the color categories.

Compared to last week: 

  • Midwest: Widespread 1-2 class improvements across Iowa, Illinois, and Wisconsin. D1-D3 drought remains most prevalent across Minnesota, Missouri, and Kentucky. 
  • 87.0% of the Midwest region is drought free (~13.0% in D1-D4). 

Image Description ↓

A county-level map titled “U.S. Drought Monitor – Wisconsin” shows drought conditions for June 16, 2026 (released June 18, 2026; valid 8 a.m. EDT).

Most of Wisconsin is shaded yellow (D0 Abnormally Dry), covering much of the north, east, and central regions. White areas (no drought) appear in parts of central and west‑central Wisconsin, forming a band through the middle of the state. A small tan area (D1 Moderate Drought) is visible in south‑central Wisconsin, with limited localized extent. No areas show D2 (severe), D3 (extreme), or D4 (exceptional) drought.

A table labeled “Drought Conditions (Percent Area)” lists:

  • Current: None 26.17%, D0–D4 73.83%, D1–D4 3.56%, D2–D4 0.00%, D3–D4 0.00%, D4 0.00%
  • Last Week (06‑09‑2026): None 10.71%, D0–D4 89.29%, D1–D4 13.49%
  • 3 Months Ago (03‑17‑2026): None 71.98%, D0–D4 28.02%
  • Start of Calendar Year (01‑06‑2026): None 2.76%, D0–D4 97.24%, D1–D4 53.46%, D2–D4 12.62%
  • Start of Water Year (10‑01‑2025): None 64.44%, D0–D4 35.56%
  • One Year Ago (06‑17‑2025): None 74.12%, D0–D4 25.88%

A legend identifies drought intensity categories (None, D0–D4).

  •  Wisconsin: Widespread 1 class improvement across the southeast, west central, and north central regions. 

Image Description ↓

A county-level map titled “U.S. Drought Monitor Class Change – Wisconsin, 1 Week” compares conditions from June 16, 2026 to June 9, 2026.

Most counties across Wisconsin are shaded gray, indicating “No Change.” Light green areas (1 class improvement) and medium green areas (2 class improvement) appear in a broad central band stretching from west‑central through central to east‑central Wisconsin, and in parts of the southeast region. These indicate modest improvement in drought conditions over the past week.

Small yellow areas (1 class degradation) appear along the northeastern edge of the state, including Door County and nearby lakeshore counties, indicating slight worsening. No areas show higher levels of degradation (2–5 classes) or higher levels of improvement (3–5 classes).

  •  D1 coverage dropped by 10% from last week’s report.

U.S. Drought Monitor Time Series

Image Description ↓

A line chart titled “Wisconsin Drought Time Series (USDM)” shows percent of the state in drought categories from late March to June 16, 2026. The y‑axis is labeled “Percent of State in Category” (0–100), and the x‑axis lists weekly dates (e.g., 3/3/26 through 6/16/26).

Five lines represent drought categories:

  • D0–D4 (yellow): Starts near ~72% in early March, drops steadily to ~0–2% by early May, then sharply increases to ~90% around June 9, slightly decreasing to ~73% by June 16.
  • D1–D4 (tan): Begins near ~26%, declines to ~0% by early May, then rises to ~13% in early June before dropping to ~3–4% by June 16.
  • D2–D4 (orange): Remains near 0–1% early, then stays at 0% from April through mid‑June.
  • D3–D4 (red) and D4 (dark red): Remain at 0% throughout the period.

The chart shows a clear pattern: drought coverage decreased to near zero in early May, then rapidly expanded in early June, primarily in lower severity categories (D0 and some D1), with no severe drought present by June 16.

  • D1 coverage dropped by 10%, and D0 coverage dropped by over 15% compared to last week’s report. 
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Temperature Trends

7 Day Temperatures

Image Description ↓

A map titled “Average Temperature (°F)” shows Wisconsin temperatures for June 9–15, 2026. Counties are shaded by average temperature using a color scale from about 55°F (green) to 75°F (dark yellow/orange).

Most of the state is light yellow, indicating averages around 65–68°F. Northern areas near Lake Superior and parts of northwest Wisconsin include cooler shades (light green to pale yellow), around 58–63°F. Central regions appear mostly mid‑60s°F. Southern and southeastern Wisconsin show slightly warmer temperatures, closer to 68–72°F, with darker yellow shading, including around Madison and Milwaukee.

Image Description ↓

A map titled “Average Temperature (°F): Departure from 1991–2020 Normals” shows Wisconsin temperature anomalies for June 9–15, 2026. Counties are shaded by how much average temperature differed from normal using a scale from −3°F (green) to +9°F (dark brown).

Most of Wisconsin is shaded orange to brown, indicating above‑normal temperatures. Typical departures range from about +3°F to +7°F across central, eastern, and northern regions. Darker shades (around +6°F to +8°F) appear in parts of eastern and northeastern Wisconsin, including areas near Green Bay and along Lake Michigan. Western and northwestern areas (near Eau Claire) show lighter orange shading, generally around +2°F to +4°F. No areas show below‑normal temperatures.

  • Average temperatures ranged from 70-75°F in the south to 55-65°F along Lake Superior. 
  • Temperatures were 3-6°F above normal across most of the state, with the eastern and northern counties being the most above normal. 

30 Day Temperatures

Image Description ↓

A map titled “Average Temperature (°F)” shows Wisconsin temperatures for May 17 to June 15, 2026. The map uses a color scale from about 50°F (green) to 70°F (yellow).

Most of the state is shaded light yellow, indicating average temperatures around 60–65°F. Northern and northeastern areas, especially near Lake Superior and parts of the Upper Peninsula, show cooler green to light green shades, generally around 52–58°F. West‑central and central Wisconsin are mostly near 60–63°F. Southern and southeastern regions, including areas near Madison and Milwaukee, display warmer yellow tones, typically around 63–68°F, with a few localized areas approaching 70°F.

Image Description ↓

A map titled “Average Temperature (°F): Departure from 1991–2020 Normals” shows temperature anomalies across Wisconsin for May 17 to June 15, 2026. Counties are shaded using a scale from −5°F (green) to +6°F (dark orange/brown).

Nearly all of Wisconsin is shaded orange, indicating above‑normal temperatures statewide. Most areas show departures of about +2°F to +5°F. Darker orange areas, indicating +4°F to +6°F above normal, are scattered across central, southern, and northeastern Wisconsin, including areas near Madison, Green Bay, and Milwaukee. Western and northwestern areas (around Eau Claire) show slightly lighter shades, generally around +2°F to +4°F. No areas display below‑normal temperatures.

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Growing Degree Days (Base 50°F)

Image Description ↓

A map titled “Accumulated Growing Degree Days (50°F)” shows totals across Wisconsin from May 1 to June 15, 2026. The color scale ranges from about 110 (purple/blue) to 740 (red).

Northern Wisconsin and areas near Lake Superior are shaded blue to teal, indicating lower totals around 150–350 GDD. Central Wisconsin shows green to yellow shades, typically about 350–550 GDD. Southern and southwestern regions show orange to red shading, indicating the highest totals, generally 600–740 GDD, with the warmest accumulation in the southwest corner.

Image Description ↓

A map titled “Accumulated Growing Degree Days (50°F)” shows totals across Wisconsin from May 15 to June 15, 2026. Counties are shaded using a color scale ranging from about 100 (purple/blue) to 640 (red).

Northern Wisconsin and areas near Lake Superior are shaded blue to teal, indicating lower totals around 150–350 growing degree days (GDD). Central Wisconsin shows green to yellow shades, generally about 350–500 GDD. Southern and southwestern regions are shaded orange to red, indicating the highest totals, typically 500–640 GDD, with the warmest accumulation concentrated in the southwest.

  • Starting May 1 – Growing degree day accumulation ranges from 620 GDD in the far south and west to 390 GDD in the far north. These values are 115-130% of normal. 
  • Starting May 15 – Growing degree day accumulation ranges from 600 GDD in the far south and west to 350 GDD in the far north. These values are 130-145% of normal. 
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Crop Progress and Condition

Crop Progress Report for Wisconsin for the Week Ending on June 7, 2026 

*Note that USDA progress reports were not updated this week. Graphics are the same as last week.

USDA Corn Progress map, Percent Emerged, June 7, 2026. National: 86% emerged, 0 change from 5-yr avg. Image description below.

Image Description ↓

Choropleth map of US states showing corn percent emerged with change from 5-year average in brackets. North Dakota 76 [+16], Minnesota 91 [+5], South Dakota 92 [+7], Wisconsin 81 [0], Iowa 92 [0], Nebraska 91 [-1], Colorado 66 [-1], Kansas 78 [-2], Missouri 92 [+1], Illinois 88 [-2], Indiana 80 [-3], Ohio 75 [-2], Pennsylvania 44 [-18], Michigan 77 [-4], Kentucky 96 [+16], Tennessee 95 [+3], North Carolina 96 [-2], Texas 94 [+2]. Color scale ranges from dark green (40%+ above average) through light green, white (no change), to orange/red (below average).

USDA map of soybean emergence by state, June 7, 2026. National: 79% emerged, +8 vs 5-year average. Image description below.

Image Description ↓

Choropleth map of central/eastern US states, shaded by deviation from 5-year average percent emerged (scale: 40%+ to -40% or less, dark green to dark red, white = no change). Each state shows percent emerged followed by change in brackets. North Dakota 65 [+23], Minnesota 83 [+10], South Dakota 82 [+16], Wisconsin 79 [+7], Michigan 73 [+2], Nebraska 84 [+1], Iowa 86 [+4], Illinois 84 [+4], Indiana 76 [+1], Ohio 69 [+2], Kansas 67 [+10], Missouri 67 [+5], Kentucky 77 [+19], North Carolina 83 [+17], Tennessee 83 [+22], Arkansas 93 [+10], Mississippi 91 [+4], Louisiana 96 [+6]. Most states are shaded light green (1-9% above average) except North Dakota (dark green, 20-29% range) and Iowa/Nebraska (very pale, near no change).

  • Wisconsin had 3.4 days suitable for fieldwork statewide, which was down from the previous week due to rain. 
  • The corn crop is 93% emerged, 4% above the five-year average. 
  • Soybeans are 91% emerged, 6% above the five-year average. 
  • Corn and soybean conditions are 80% and 79% good to excellent, respectively. 
  • Winter wheat is 83% headed and is rated 78% good to excellent (up 10% from last week). 
  • Oats are 97% emerged and 35% headed. Oat condition is 84% good to excellent.  
  • Pasture and range were rated 67% good to excellent, up 6% from last week. 
  • The first cutting of alfalfa is 86% complete.  
  • Read the full USDA report. 
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Forecasts and Outlooks

7 Day Precipitation Forecast

Image Description ↓

A map titled “7‑Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for June 18–25, 2026” shows expected rainfall across Wisconsin and surrounding states. Wisconsin is centered with county outlines and labeled cities including Minneapolis, Madison, and Milwaukee.

Precipitation is color‑coded using a legend labeled “Predicted Inches of Precipitation,” ranging from 0 inches (light) to over 1.75 inches (purple/pink). Most of Wisconsin is shaded green, indicating about 0.1–0.5 inches of precipitation. Southern and southwestern Wisconsin transition to blue shades, indicating higher totals around 0.75–1.25 inches, with localized areas near or above 1.25 inches along the southern border. Northern Wisconsin shows darker green tones, generally near 0.25–0.5 inches.

Surrounding regions show heavier precipitation south of Wisconsin, with increasing totals into the central Plains (blue to purple shades exceeding 1.5 inches).

  • When? – Multiple rain chances over the next week, with the highest likelihood on Friday, Sunday (in the south), Tuesday, and Wednesday. 
  • Where? – Rain is most likely in the southern tier of counties, with increasing totals nearest to the Illinois border. 
  • Check your local forecast for details on totals and timing. 
  • Average precip (1991-2020) for this week: 1.09”. 

8-14 Day Temperature and Precipitation Outlook

Image Description ↓

A map titled “8–14 Day Precipitation Outlook for June 25–July 1, 2026” shows forecast probabilities for precipitation across Wisconsin. Counties are outlined, with labels including Minneapolis, Madison, and Milwaukee.

Most of Wisconsin is shaded light gray, indicating “Near-Normal Conditions.” Southern Wisconsin has light teal shading, indicating a modest probability (about 33–50%) of above-normal precipitation. There are no areas indicating strong above-normal (dark teal) or below-normal (tan/brown) precipitation probabilities within Wisconsin.

Two legends at the bottom show probability scales:

Above-normal precipitation: 33% to 100% (light to dark teal).
A gray box indicates near-normal conditions.

Below-normal precipitation: 33% to 100% (tan to dark brown).

Image Description ↓

A map titled “8–14 Day Temperature Outlook for June 25–July 1, 2026” shows forecast probabilities for temperature conditions across Wisconsin. Counties are outlined, with labels including Minneapolis, Madison, Milwaukee, and Superior.

Most of Wisconsin is shaded gray, indicating “Near-Normal Conditions.” A diagonal band of light blue shading extends from the southwest toward south-central Wisconsin, indicating a slight probability (about 33–50%) of below-normal temperatures in those areas. Northern, central, and eastern Wisconsin remain gray, showing no strong signal for above- or below-normal temperatures. No areas display above-normal temperature probabilities (orange/red shades).

Two legends at the bottom show probability scales:

Above-normal temperatures: 33% to 100% (light to dark red).
A gray box indicates near-normal conditions.

Below-normal temperatures: 33% to 100% (light to dark blue).

  • June-July Transition: Temperature odds are leaning towards near normal statewide, except for the west and southwest (33-40% below normal). Precipitation is leaning above normal statewide, especially in the south (40-50% odds).  
  • Statewide normals (1991-2020) for June 25 – July 1 are 68.0°F and 1.05”. 
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30 Day Temperature and Precipitation Outlook

Image Description ↓

A U.S. map titled “Monthly Precipitation Outlook” shows forecast probabilities for July 2026, issued June 18, 2026. Regions are labeled with categories: Above, Near Normal (Equal Chances), and Below.

Wisconsin and much of the central U.S. are labeled “Equal Chances,” indicating no strong signal for above- or below-normal precipitation.

Areas of above-normal precipitation (green shading) include the southwestern U.S. (centered on Utah/Arizona region) and parts of the Ohio Valley into the eastern Midwest. Alaska also shows a region of above-normal precipitation.

Areas of below-normal precipitation (tan to brown shading) include the Pacific Northwest, parts of the northern Plains/Upper Midwest, the Gulf Coast and Southeast (strongest signal near Louisiana and Texas), and parts of southern Alaska.

Most other regions across the central Plains and eastern U.S. show equal chances.

A legend labeled “Probability (Percent Chance)” indicates:

Below normal (tan/browns): 33–100%

Above normal (greens): 33–100%

Near normal (gray): equal chances

Image Description ↓

A U.S. map titled “Monthly Temperature Outlook” shows forecast temperature probabilities for July 2026, issued June 18, 2026. Regions are labeled “Above,” “Equal Chances,” or implied below-normal probabilities (though none appear over most of the lower 48).

Wisconsin and much of the central U.S., including the Upper Midwest, are shaded white and labeled “Equal Chances,” indicating no strong signal for above- or below-normal temperatures.

Large areas of above-normal temperatures (orange to red shading) are shown across the western U.S., especially the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin, with stronger probabilities (darker orange/red) in the Northwest. Another above-normal region extends across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, including Florida and the Carolinas, with moderate to high probabilities. Parts of Alaska also show above-normal temperatures, while a small region there indicates equal chances.

No notable areas of below-normal temperatures are indicated across the contiguous U.S.

A legend labeled “Probability (Percent Chance)” shows:

Below normal (blue): 33–100%

Above normal (orange/red): 33–100%

Near normal (gray/white): equal chances

  • July: Uncertainty for temperature and precipitation with “equal chances” statewide. However, far northwest counties are showing a slight lean (33-40% odds) towards below normal precipitation. 
  • Statewide normals (1991-2020) for July 1-30 are 69.2°F and 4.04”. 

90 Day Temperature and Precipitation Outlook

Image Description ↓

A U.S. map titled “Seasonal Precipitation Outlook” shows probabilities for July–August–September 2026, issued June 18, 2026. Regions are labeled “Above,” “Equal Chances,” or “Below,” with color shading (green = above normal, gray = equal, tan/brown = below).

Wisconsin is shaded white/gray and labeled “Equal Chances,” indicating no strong signal for wetter or drier conditions.

Areas of above-normal precipitation (green shading) include the Southwest (centered on Arizona–Utah region), parts of the Northeast (including New England), and portions of Alaska.

Areas of below-normal precipitation (tan to brown shading) include the Pacific Northwest, parts of the northern Upper Midwest/Great Lakes region, and a broad area along the Gulf Coast and southern Plains, with the strongest signal centered on Texas and Louisiana.

Much of the central and southeastern U.S., including the Ohio Valley, shows “Equal Chances.”

A legend labeled “Probability (Percent Chance)” indicates:

Below normal (tan/brown): 33–100%

Above normal (greens): 33–100%

Near normal (gray): equal chances

Image Description ↓

A U.S. map titled “Seasonal Temperature Outlook” shows forecast probabilities for July–August–September 2026, issued June 18, 2026. Regions are labeled “Above,” “Below,” or “Equal Chances,” with color shading (orange/red = above normal, blue = below normal, gray/white = equal chances).

Wisconsin is shaded white and labeled “Equal Chances,” indicating no strong signal for above- or below-normal temperatures.

A large below-normal temperature area (blue shading) is centered over the central U.S., including Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois, extending near but not clearly over Wisconsin.

Above-normal temperature regions (orange/red shading) include:

  • The western U.S., especially the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin, with stronger probabilities in darker red.
  • The eastern U.S., especially along the East Coast and Northeast.
  • Much of Alaska, which shows widespread above-normal temperatures.

The southern U.S. shows lighter orange shading, indicating a weaker signal for above-normal temperatures. Some areas in the north-central U.S. and parts of Alaska are labeled “Equal Chances.”

A legend labeled “Probability (Percent Chance)” indicates:

Below normal: 33–100% (light to dark blue)

Above normal: 33–100% (light to dark orange/red)

Near normal: equal chances (gray/white)

  • July-Sept: Temperatures in southern and central counties are leaning towards below normal temperatures (33-40% odds), with uncertainty further north. Precipitation is leaning towards below normal for most of the state (33-40% odds), with uncertainty in the far south. 
  • Statewide normals (1991-2020) for July-Sept are 65.4°F and 11.53”. 
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